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2011 Draft Lottery Simulator

Everyone's favourite NHL Draft Lottery Simulator is back for another season

Friday, 08.04.2011 / 3:17 PM / Features
By edmontonoilers.com staff
A look at the NHL's draft lottery selection machine.

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The 2010 NHL Entry Draft takes place on Friday, June 24 in Saint Paul, Minnesota. But before the draft takes place, the NHL needs to determine the order in which each team will pick.
With the Draft Lottery, all 14 non-playoff teams have an opportunity to win the draw. A win means that you can move up no more than four spots. For the teams ranked fifth or higher that means a draft lottery victory ensures they will win the coveted first-overall position.

The Oilers have a 25.0% chance of winning the draft lottery outright and a 48.2% chance of gaining the first overall pick. If any team ranked sixth through 14th wins the lottery, the Oilers retain top spot.

The Draft Lottery Drawing for the 2011 NHL Entry Draft will be held Tuesday, April 12 at 6:00 p.m. MDT. Can't wait until then? We've created a simulator with all the actual odds built in so you can test out and see how the Oilers might do. Click the button below and try it out.

The best part about our simulator? If you don't like the result, hit refresh and try again! 2010-11 DRAFT DRAWING PROBABILITY CHART
(through games of Thursday, April 7)


Current ------------- PERCENTAGES OF -------------
Non-Playoff Club * Draft Pos. Pts If Selected Winning Getting 1st Dropping Not Dropping
Edmonton 1 61 Retain 1st pick 25.0% 48.2% 51.8% 48.2%
Colorado 2 66 2nd to 1st 18.8% 18.8% 39.2% 60.8%
Florida 3 70 3rd to 1st 14.2% 14.2% 29.7% 70.3%
NY Islanders 4 72 4th to 1st 10.7% 10.7% 22.6% 77.4%
Ottawa 5 74 5th to 1st 8.1% 8.1% 17.2% 82.8%
New Jersey 6 79 6th to 2nd 6.2% 0.0% 13.1% 86.9%
Atlanta 7 80 7th to 3rd 4.7% 0.0% 9.9% 90.1%
Columbus 8 81 8th to 4th 3.6% 0.0% 7.4% 92.6%
Minnesota 9 82 9th to 5th 2.7% 0.0% 5.5% 94.5%
Boston (from TOR) 10 85 10th to 6th 2.1% 0.0% 3.9% 96.1%
St. Louis 11 85 11th to 7th 1.5% 0.0% 2.4% 97.6%
Carolina 12 89 12th to 8th 1.1% 0.0% 1.3% 98.7%
Calgary 13 93 13th to 9th 0.8% 0.0% 0.5% 99.5%
Dallas 14 93 14th to 10th 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

* or club acquiring non-playoff club's draft pick

Legend

Winning - percentage chance of winning the Draft Drawing (see above, 'If Selected')
Getting 1st - percentage chance of being awarded the first overall pick as a result of the Draft Drawing
Dropping - percentage chance of moving down in the draft order as a result of the Draft Drawing
Not Dropping - percentage chance of not moving down in the draft order as a result of the Draft Drawing

Summary Of Transferred Draft Picks

Toronto to Boston: Toronto traded its 1st- and 2nd-round picks in the 2010 Entry Draft and 1st-round pick in 2011 to Boston for RW Phil Kessel (09/18/09).
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